In the main event for UFC 260, the top contender Francis Ngannou squares off against Stipe Miocic for the second time. Will Ngannou avenge his first loss against Miocic? Or, will Miocic successfully defend his Heavyweight Crown as an underdog once again? UFC 260 will take place tonight at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada.
The Co-Main event was supposed to be a bout for the Featherweight title between Alexander Volkanovski and Brian Oretga. But, the bout fell through when Volkanovski tested positive for COVID-19. The new Co-Main event is now a Welterwight bout between the struggling Tyron Woodley against the rising Vicente Luque.
The UFC Fight Pass Prelims start at about 7:30 P.M. EST while the ESPN PLUS/ESPN Prelims start at 8:00 P.M. EST. The Main Card is a PPV event, and it starts at 10:00 P.M. EST. The information below is my picks for the Main Card. I provide you with the odds for my picks, so if you are betting tonight, I ask that you please bet responsibly.
Stipe Miocic (20-3-0) vs. Francis Ngannou (15-3-0)
Pick: Over 1.5 rounds (-142)
This fight is incredibly difficult to get a read on. Stipe Miocic’s last three fights were against a skilled but aging Daniel Cormier. Miocic has not fought anybody different since January of 2018, and who was the last guy he fought that wasn’t Cormier? You guessed it, it was Francis Ngannou. Ngannou has gone 4-1 ever since he lost via decision to Miocic. He lost another decision to Derrick Lewis after his loss to Miocic, and then he basically went on a killing spree. In Ngannou’s next four fights, he fought four talented fighters that really never stood a chance. Ngannou not only won all of those fights, but he won those fights via KO/TKO in the very first round. Ngannou has obviously significantly improved since his first loss to Miocic, but I will never be able to doubt the Goat of the Heavyweight division. It is also very tough to pick against Miocic when he is an underdog as he is 4-0 in championship fights as an underdog. If I had to make a pick for the winner of this fight, I would take Miocic. But there is no denying the skills and the knockout power of Ngannou. So I am avoiding picking a winner, and I am simply taking the Over 1.5 rounds. Although Ngannou’s last four fights ended in the first round, I think Miocic will again be able to push the fight into the later rounds.
Tyron Woodley (19-6-1) vs. Vicente Luque (19-7-1)
Pick: Vicente Luque by KO/TKO (+230)
This fight is very interesting. Former champ Tyron Woodley is 38 years old and he has lost his last three fights to the top guys in the division. Vicente Luque is a very talented striker who seems likely to keep moving forward and ultimately outwork Woodley. Woodley has had a phenomenal career, and he has the power to put Luque’s lights out. But, Woodley just doesn’t seem to have much left in the tank. Like I said, Woodley’s past three fights were against some of the best guys in the division. But during those fights, once the momentum swung in his opponents direction, he did not look capable of recovering. I think Luque’s constant pressure will allow him to drown Woodley, and ultimately knock him out.
Sean O’Malley (12-1-0) vs. Thomas Almeida (22-4-0)
Pick: Sean O’Malley by KO/TKO (+140)
Sean O’Malley returns to the Octagon for the first time since his very first loss to Marlon Vera where he seemingly hurt his leg and then got pounded by elbows. Thomas Almeida has not looked like the same fighter ever since he beat Albert Morales. Almeida has lost his past three fights and I think that trend continues in this fight. Almeida is just way too reckless and not sound enough defensively to be able to properly defend himself against O’Malley. It’s really less about Almeida and more about the rise of the Suga Show. In my opinion, O’Malley is soon going to be a top contender in this division, and I think he will knock the lights out of Almeida.
Gillian Robertson (9-5-0) vs. Miranda Maverick (10-2-0)
Pick: Miranda Maverick ML (-158)
Miranda Maverick is a talented wrestler who also has incredible confidence in her standup. On the other side, Gillian Robertson succeeds best in grappling situations, but she is also a very technically sound boxer. I think that Maverick’s athleticism should be enough to force Robertson into a situation where she is forced to wrestle Maverick, and if that happens, I do not see Robertson being able to get it done. This pick is pretty simple to me.
Jamie Mullarkey (12-4-0) vs. Khama Worthy (16-7-0)
Pick: Jamie Mullarkey ML (+112)
These fighters have changed a great deal ever since entering the UFC. Worthy has transitioned into a counter-striking specialist instead of the free-willed, all gas, no brakes fighter he once was. Mullarkey entered the UFC as a fundamentally sound striker, but now he has heavily relied on his wrestling. The difference I am seeing here in this fight is that Mullarkey should be able to eat Worthy’s shots, while I think Mullarkey’s striking will wear down Worthy. The over 1.5 rounds in this fight is also very intriguing as I can see it going to decision. But I am keeping it simple and going with Mullarkey as I think he will be able to keep control of Worthy on the feet and the ground.