2024 College Football Conference Championship Weekend: Preview & Picks for Degenerates
College Football oh what a whacky and fun ride we had this year. From the awesome upsets, to the absurd week to week rankings, to an 8OT game, what a blast this year was!
As we all know, it always comes down to Conference Championship Weekend. We are officially entering the Witching Hour of CFB. Conference Championships —> Army vs Navy Game —> Bowl SZN —> CFB Playoffs.
This next month is heaven for football lovers and degenerates like us.
That said, after a pretty brutal Thanksgiving (for some… @emperorcassidy) while others had a great day, lets all win our bets this Conference Championship Weekend.
Operation Bankrupt Vegas begins now…
SATURDAY GAMES
*Big 12 Championship | 12:00 PM E.T.*
Iowa State vs Arizona State
Ric’s Picks:
Arizona State -2 (-110) 1u
The second “Win and in” game of the weekend comes in the Big 12 Championship game, with Big 12 newcomer Arizona State facing off against Iowa State. Arizona State led by Senior Running back Cam Skattebo who might be the one of most under appreciated player in the country, has been on fire in the month of November, scoring 9 touchdowns averaging 183.7 yards from scrimmage per game. Iowa State has been stellar against the pass but have allowed over 170 yards a game on the ground and 178.4 per game in the month of November.
Prediction: 31-21 Arizona State
Arizona State has been one of the hottest and highest-rising teams as of recent and I don’t see that ending on Saturday. Iowa State has trouble against the run and is a bad matchup for a hot rushing offense in Arizona State.
King Wills Picks:
Arizona State -1.5 (-105) 2u
A lot of steam came in moving this one close to a pick and it’s still dropping. Would not be surprised if this is down to a point by Gametime. Don’t buy the smoke. The sun devils lost their top outside receiver which caused the panic on the ASU side.
A wide reciever injury shouldn’t be moving this line. ASU will tote the rock with Skatebo who is their best player and have proved they’re an excellent team with good coaching. ASU starts faster than ISU, and they run the football better. I see those being the keys to the game in a massive Arizona state victory.
Logan’s Picks:
ISU/ASU Over 50.5 (-110) 1u
This line looks a little low to me. If we get a close game I expect this to hit because Arizona State knows how to do one thing: score points. They have only scored less 24 points in a game 2 times this year and I’m confident they will score more than that in this game.
Iowa State is another team that scores a bunch of points and they haven’t scored less than 20 in a game this year. I’m anticipating a nice lil shootout game where these teams go back and forth which is why I’m taking points and not touching any spread or moneyline on this game.
Also, there is nothing better than watching a game with your points strictly rooting for touchdowns not caring who wins.
I will chanting “POINTS POINTS POINTS” all afternoon long in this game.
Emperor’s Picks:
Arizona State ML (-118) 1u
Now I was in between the Over and ASU ML. If you have eyes you can clearly see what my choice was. I’m riding with most of the boys here and I LOVE IT. Candi piss off and Log I respect you rooting for points.. no hate in that.
Anyways, Arizona State is COOKING this season and they have looked almost unstoppable towards the back half of the season. And unlike Iowa State, they are just 1 win away from their first-ever College Football Playoff Berth. This game just means more for the Sun Devils.
I’ll take the team that is 7-0 as favorites this season (at least that’s what the Action Network is showing me) with a legitimate Playoff berth on the line any damn day.
Doctor Candi’s Picks
Iowa State +2.5 (-115) 1u
I think a lot of these lower ranked teams are being undervalued here, these lines and close spreads are very telling, and the wise guys and the sharp money appears to be on our side.
All I’m going to say is that the dogs are going to be barking.
Shep’s Picks:
Arizona State ML (-120) 1u
I don’t know what is going to happen in this game. What I do know is if ASU wins the championship the ASU campus will be the drunkest town in America for a week. The team knows what’s at stake and will bring the boom.
*MAC Championship | 12:00 PM E.T.*
Ohio vs Miami (Ohio)
No picks from the fellas for this game. Everyone is Soft – Part 2
*SEC Championship | 4:00 PM E.T.*
Georgia vs Texas
Ric’s Picks:
Georgia ML (+120) 1u
One of two matchups between two top 5 teams of the weekend, with the winner securing a first round bye in the college football playoff. Texas has done their job this year, winning the games they’ve been supposed to which has earned them a spot in the SEC championship in their first year. The issue I have with them is that they’ve only played one team currently ranked inside, with that team being Georgia who they lost to at home in October 30-15. Opposite of Texas, Georgia is battle tested. They’ve played 5 teams ranked inside the current top 25 with a record of 3-2.
Prediction: Georgia 31 Texas 26
Georgia beat Texas on the road this year, now they get a chance to play them in their own backyard in Atlanta. Carson Beck has had a few nice bounce back games since his poor start at Ole Miss and I see it continuing into this game on Saturday.
King Wills Picks:
Georgia +2.5 (-102) 1u
Georgia had success against Quinn by blitzing him in the last matchup. I expect to see much of the same as Georgia will prove dominant in the trenches.
Georgia also will own the crowd and Texas feels safe and cozy with their positioning in the CFP.
Expect some hungry bulldogs to win outright in a low scoring game against Texas. Wait till the number reaches peak and take the under, have been hearing a lot of TV gamblers giving out the over in that game so expect it to go up.
This isn’t a bet on Beck or against Ewers. They’re both mid. This is a bet on the bigger stronger team playing a pseudo home game with no coaching edge for either side. Why is Texas favored? Gimme the dawgs.
Logan’s Picks:
UGA/Texas Over 49.5 (-115) 1u
Game of the week here. Another matchup that could go either way so I’m only looking at props and points. Texas defense has been great this year limiting opponents in scoring this year. The one time they weren’t: against this Georgia team right here. Texas offense couldn’t get anything going in that game but this game should be different. Too much on the line for both teams and Georgia defense just let Georgia Tech light up the scoreboard last week. This one might not be a shootout but I’ll be shocked if the over doesn’t hit. Gonna be an intense game where neither team gives up likely scoring tuddys til the end.
GIVE ME POINTS
Emperor’s Picks:
Legacy Bet #10: The Cassidy QB Tree 2024 Parlay (+153) 10u
- Leg 2/4: Quinn Ewers 175+ Passing Yards (-650)
It’s not a straight bet, relax you jackasses. To my real soldiers that follow, you should know Legacy Bets are very sacred to me. Tomorrow we have Leg #2 of #4 in the 10th Legacy bet in ReRack/The Emperor’s history where I am relying on Quinn Ewers to pass for 175+ Passing Yards.
The good thing about this bet is Ewers has hit this over in every game he’s played this season. The bad thing is he got benched against Georgia last time they played. Another bad thing is that some guy related to Manning family is his backup. ANYWAYS… I am not worried. All Hail Quinn Ewers. His time is now. He will not let down The Cassidy QB Tree.
Ewers will get me to Sunday so I can see Drew Lock cash this Legacy Bet for me in person. #AllHailEwers
Other than the Ewers Parlay leg, I think I’m staying away from this game because as a Texas Fan I don’t like anything. Nothing pops out at me. Georgia is basically playing a home game tomorrow and Texas struggled last time against them. Now with that being said, Texas being favored just doesn’t seem right. So it seems like most normies would hammer Georgia. Sooo do I hammer Texas??? I’d love to but I’m playing it smart this time around. All about bankroll. Don’t force bets!
Let’s just hope for Texas W and of course, Ewers to take me to Sunday. #Legacy
Shep’s Picks:
Georgia +3 (-110) 1u
Georgia son’d Texas last time and will do it again.
*Sun Belt Championship | 7:30 PM E.T.*
Marshall vs Louisiana
No picks from the fellas for this game. Everyone is Soft – Part 3.
*Big Ten Championship | 8:00 PM E.T.*
Penn State vs Oregon
Ric’s Picks:
Oregon -4.5 (-110) 1u
The second of two top 5 matchups of the weekend, the unbeaten Oregon Ducks look to win a big 10 championship in their first year in the conference. Oregon has been a well oiled machine all year winning every game by double digits other than a 3 point win over top 9th ranked Boise State and a one point victory vs 6th ranked Ohio State. While Penn State comes into the game thanks to a gift from Michigan knocking off Ohio state last week securing their spot in the championship. The way I see it, this game comes down to if Drew Allar wants to finally step up in a big time game and win it for Penn State, because his coach will not be. Both James Franklin and Allar have been miserable in big time games, with Franklin 3-17 in his career against top 10 teams and Allar yet to beat one (0-3) and having a completion percentage under 50% and averaging under 200 yards in those games.
Prediction: Oregon 24 Penn State 7
Oregon has been the best team in the country all year, and I see them exposing Penn State on Saturday. Dillon Gabriel has been efficient and their defense will be able to keep Penn state in check all game to secure their #1 ranking going into the playoffs.
Logan’s Picks:
Oregon -3.5 (-105) 1u
Out of all my picks this is my lock. I love this play so much.
You’re gonna give me 3.5 points against a fraudulent Penn State team?!?!? I’m even looking at alt lines up to 6.5 maybe even more for this game.
This Oregon team is LEGIT. And has basically smacked everyone that has stepped on the field with them. They’ve only had 3 close games all year against solid OSU and Boise State teams and then a close one in a tough Wisconsin environment.
Fuck James Franklin that guy can’t win shit he’s a regular-season warrior that couldn’t win a game like this if his life depended on it. Dan Lanning on their hand shows up in these games and knows how to put points on the board.
DUCKS BY 50.
Emperor’s Picks:
PSU/Oregon u50.5 (-110) 1u
Complete System Play from the Emperor here fellas and let me break it down why.
First off, as I’m writing this, 84% of the public is currently betting on the over.
Second – both teams are 5-7 this season for their O/U Record.
Third – Penn State is 0-1 for O/U this season as a Underdog. Oregon is 4-6 for O/U this season.
Fourth – It’s Big Ten Football.
I love the stats here and love fading the public when over 80% of people are betting on the opposite of my pick. Team Vegas for this game. Let’s make money with the bad guys this time around.
Operation Fund Vegas Because The Under in the Big 10 Chip Hits.
Doctor Candi’s Picks
Penn State +4 (-120) 1u
I think a lot of these lower-ranked teams are being undervalued here, these lines and close spreads are very telling, and the wise guys and the sharp money appears to be on our side.
All I’m going to say is that the dogs are going to be barking.
Shep’s Picks:
PSU/Oregon o50.5(-110) 1u
As a Penn State fan I wouldn’t respect myself to bet against them. Both teams are high-powered offenses and are gonna be scoring.
*ACC Championship | 8:00 PM E.T.*
Clemson vs SMU
Ric’s Picks:
SMU -2 (-110) 1u
This is one of the more interesting matchups of the weekend, with Clemson having the opportunity to potentially steal a bid into the college football playoff. With an SMU loss, could leave the committee with a tough decision to make. SMU has dominated conference play but hasn’t played the conferences top ranked teams (Miami, Clemson, Syracuse). Clemson is coming off a loss vs a hot South Carolina team, but is a very talented team led by Cade Klubnik, one of the conferences best players over the past two years.
Prediction: SMU 31 Clemson 17
The Mustangs defense has been lock down as of recent, only allowing 13 points and 427 yards over the past two games. I see that continuing into Saturday and on into the playoffs.
Logan’s Picks:
Clemson ML (+112) 1u
SMU looks good… on paper. The problem is they haven’t played any good teams except Louisville (Won in a close game) and BYU (Lost in a close game).
SMU hasn’t had any real tests this year to show us who they truly are and their strength of schedule ranks 65th in the nation. If SMU can’t secure an early lead I’m banking on the fact that they will fall apart fast. Although Clemson has gone through some ups and downs this year they are still a good and capable football team that can easily pull this off.
It would be the most Clemson thing ever for them to lose 3 games and somehow make the playoffs. If Clemson’s offense can get it going against an SMU defense that folds against good competition, then watch out cuz it might turn into a blowout.
Emperor’s Picks:
Kevin Jennings o224.5 Passing Yards (-185) 2u
Would of loved to make this a 3u Missile Play like my Boise State, but I’m a little more nervous about this play specifically because of what Clemson has been able to do against QBs they have faced this season.
Now with that being said, Jennings has hit this over in his last 8 games. Why not ride the hot hand and the huge reason why they are in the ACC Chip? KJ Night!
Doctor Candi’s Picks
Clemson +3 (-120) 1u
I think a lot of these lower ranked teams are being undervalued here, these lines and close spreads are very telling, and the wise guys and the sharp money appears to be on our side. I love Clemson, I might even sprinkle on the ML here.
Clemson, I do believe, is better than their record and SMU I think just played a Mickey Mouse schedule, so some regression is due. Clemson also definitely should’ve beaten South Carolina last week, it felt like a million things had to go wrong for that outcome to occur.
I also think it’d be fucked up to penalized SMU for losing a conference championship game, and then move Alabama – who didn’t make it to the conference championship – above them. If that is the case then we would have to move down Georgia as well if they lose to Texas….don’t see that happening. So hopefully Clemson can steal a spot here, and the committee does the right thing here and keeps SMU in. That’s all boys, more picks to come very soon! Merry Christmas, let’s get rich!
FRIDAY NIGHT GAMES
*CUSA Championship | 7:00 PM E.T.*
Western Kentucky vs Jacksonville State
No picks from the fellas for this game. Everyone is Soft.
*Mountain West Championship | 8:00 PM E.T.*
UNLV vs Boise State
Ric’s Picks:
UNLV/Boise State Under 57.5 (-110) 1u
Some quick notes for the game…
- Boise previously beat UNLV 29-24 (-2.5, under 62.5) this season.
- UNLV held Ashton Jeanty to his worst game of the year, season low of yards per carry (3.9) and 2nd lowest yards (128) only to Portland State where he didn’t register a carry in the 2nd half.
- UNLV allows the 14th lowest rushing yards per game (104.4)
- UNLV has won 8 straight road games
- Both teams rank inside the top 15 in both rushing offense and defense
The first major game that has playoff implications of the weekend, UNLV takes on Boise State in the Mountain West championship, with the winner most likely going into the CFP. In their first meeting, Boise State won on the road 29-24, covering the spread (-2.5) with the total going under (62.5). UNLV held Heisman hopeful Ashton Jeanty to his worst game of the year, only allowing him to rush for 3.9 yards a carry (his lowest of the season) and 128 yards ( one more than his game against Portland State where he didn’t register a single carry in the second half). Both squads come into the game ranking in the top 20 in both Rushing offense and defense, pointing to this game being won in the trenches.
Prediction: Boise State 27- UNLV 21
With all that being said, my pick is the under in this game.
Saying they have the blueprint to contain Jeanty is a bit of a reach considering he rushed for 128 yards in their first meeting, but they’ve been able to give him his toughest match. Although his yards at 176 is tempting to take the under, I don’t feel comfortable betting against this man. I believe this game comes down to Boise State QB Maddux Madsen being able to execute and be consistent in the pass game when it matters. In the end I see this being a lower scoring game, with both teams beating the clock and keeping the total below 57.5
King Will’s Picks:
Boise State -3.5 (-120) 1u
This is simple. They beat them in LV by 5. They have the best player in the game. They are playing at home. They are on the verge of clinching a bye in the first-ever CFP. Tonight is a historic night for a Boise program attempting to establish themselves as the premier program outside of the blue bloods in college football. Jenty likely scores twice but don’t bother betting it it’s probably -600.
Just take those Boise State boys to cover the number. I see them easily winning by a touchdown or more.
Logan’s Picks:
Boise State ML (-188) 1u
With only 1 loss this year in a close game against No.1 undefeated Oregon I love this pick. They have dominated most of their competition this year and already beat UNLV earlier this year.
I know a lot of people like to bet on teams to get their get-back in these championship games but I wouldn’t fade this Boise State team. They have proven themselves to come out on top in close games and have the best RB in college football and in my opinion the best player flat out in Ashton Jeanty.
Look for the Broncos to ride him all night (no homo). Odds aren’t the best but the spread at -4.5 is a little risky for me. It’s a win and in situation for Boise State so I expect them to find a way to get the job done.
Emperor’s Picks:
Boise State ML (-178) 3u
Boise State is a good Football Team. Boise State has the future Heisman Winner on their Team. Boise State gave the best team in the country a scare of a life time to begin the season. I’m going to be a loser here and take the juiced up Moneyline. Complete sucker move, but I’m putting my faith in Jeanty and the Broncos.
Smart bettors are probably taking the UNLV points and I don’t blame them here, but I’m putting my 3unit bomb and all my faith in Sir Jeanty.
#PrimeTimeJeanty
Doctor Candi’s Picks:
UNLV +4.5 (-110) 1u
I think a lot of these lower ranked teams are being undervalued here, these lines and close spreads are very telling, and the wise guys and the sharp money appears to be on our side.
Shep’s Picks:
Boise State -4 (-110) 1u
Ashton Jeanty is going to help carry his team to a conference championship and get snubbed from the Heisman. Let’s go Boise.
*AAC Championship | 8:00 PM E.T.*
Tulane vs Army
Emperor’s Picks:
Tulane/Army Under 48.5 (-155) 1u
Bought a few points here… This is a System Play with the Public currently hammering the over. And I’m tailing the Doctor.
Doctor Candi’s Picks
Tulane/Army Under 45.5 (-110) 1u
Army’s defense will limit show up and Army should be able to sustain long drives. I think if we can get a couple of these long drives to result in field goals and turnovers we’ll be in great shape
Shep’s Picks:
Army +5 (-110) 1u
If you bet against Army your a communist. Lets go Americ
Futures/Bonus Picks/Parlays
Doctor Candi’s Picks:
Alabama to miss the playoffs (+350) .5u