Well, Round 1 of the 12 CFB Playoff went pretty much as expected. Will the Quarterfinals be any different? Hopefully! That being said, we are ending the year with Playoff College Football. What a life we all have. Can it truly get any better than this?

Enjoy your New Years with family and friends and let’s make some coin ending 2024 and starting 2025 with a bang!

Below the fellas (entire staff basically) break down and preview all four games of the 24-25 College Football Playoff Quarterfinals.

Operation Bankrupt Vegas begins now…

Message from the Doctor:

If you’re a degenerate like myself, you’re probably betting on every Bowl Game in addition to the CFB Playoff games. With that being said, I do like Illinois (gross) and Washington on the spread but will not be tracking those as official plays. Here are the CFB Playoff picks:

Fiesta Bowl: Boise State vs Penn State

*State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ | Dec. 31st, 2024 7:30 PM E.T. on ESPN*

Doctor Candi’s Picks:

Penn State 1-21 Point Win Margin (-127) 1.5u

For those of you who are not aware, this is a SGP with Penn State ML and Boise +21.5. I’ve had a lot of success with these win margin bets, and I think this is another great spot for it. I would slightly lean Boise on the spread but don’t see them winning outright, I’d much rather have an extra 10 point cushion on the spread. Even in a complete one-sided blowout I could have the potential for a back door cover, we love that. 

• SGP (-128) 1u
  • Allen 25+ Rush Yards
  • Singleton 40+ Rush Yards
  • Singleton 2+ Receptions

I think this backfield will have a lot of success against Boise. I thought about taking Allen o10.5 rush att as well, as I do believe PSU can sustain a few long drives where Allen might be able to rack up 3-4 carries. Regardless, both of these RBs should be heavily involved in the offensive scheme and should be efficient as well. 

Ashton Jeanty o12.5 Receiving Yards (-114) 1u

PSU’s run defense is stout. Boise will need to find creative ways to get Jeanty involved. 2-Min Drill/Garbage Time is where this will cash.

Santi’s Picks:

Penn State o31.5 Team Total (-122) 1u

This is honestly my favorite time of the year to bet on college ball, it’s when the rankings get exposed. I was a Jeanty for Heisman supporter, but games like this tend to simply be unfair. Penn State just has too many advantages here, they will take care of the ball and score. It’s clear as day that their defensive strategy will be to limit Jeanty and force Madsen to make plays through the air and I can see that leading to turnovers and potential defensive points as well if we get lucky. Unlike the NFL, I love backing the bigger brand in college sports (Prime example being the PSU/SMU game last week that people thought might have actually been good). Penn State has cleared this in line 5 of their last 6 games, look for the Nittany Lions to keep the momentum heading into 2025. 

Emperor’s Picks:

PSU/Boise State Over 53.5 (-110) 2u

I cannot stand Penn State but there Offense is going to put up a ton of points on this Boise State defense. That being said, all these PSU hardos really think Boise State won’t do much. They think they can stop the best CFB RB in History. New Flash: They won’t, If they even slow him down, it’ll open up the passing game for Madsen to make some big time plays. 

I expect points. I demand points. We will be given points from the Football Gods to end 2024.

If you really leave 2024 betting the under you’re just a sad pathetic loser.

Boise State +12.5 (-126) 2u

I’m not sure if it’s my hatred for Philly which leads to my hatred for Penn State or it’s just because I’m not a fan of Jerry. 

Regardless, Boise State is a HUGE dawg here but do you believe in magic? I do. They have Fiesta Bowl Magic. Go back to the mid 2000s and look up those Boise teams in the Fiesta Bowl. This game is going to be WAY closer than everyone and there mother thinks. 

Boise State is led by one of the greatest CFB running backs to play the game of football. Let the Football Gods bless Sir Real Heisman Jeanty and the Broncos. The Broncos will rue the day. 

If I didn’t have so many big boy bets on NYE already, I’d sprinkle Boise ML. 

Bronco Nation, let’s ride.

Ashton Jeanty 2+ TDs (+240) 1u

Would typically make this a half unit play but it’s NYE and I am leaving 2024 with a Bang. I am taking one of the best College Football Runningbacks in history to score 2 TDs. He already dominated one Big 10 Team this season. Time to make it two.

My Heisman is feasting.

JIGO’s Picks:

Penn State -11 (-110) 1u

Penn State is and will always be a better team than Boise State. Penn State will be too much for Boise State to handle. 11 might be to little.

Shep’s Picks:

Penn State o31.5 Pts (-140) 1u

Penn State has been extremely high powered on offense and defense this season. In 14 games PSU has cleared this in 9 of them. Boise State isn’t a bad team but they just won’t be able to compete with Penn State if Jeanty is contained.

Logan’s Picks:

Boise State +11.5 (-112) 1u

Don’t be fooled by the conference Boise State plays in. This team is GOOD and they have proved that all year. Their only loss is to undefeated Oregon and they only lost by 3 points. I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: Penn State is a fraud ass team. I really like Boise State to win this game but I’d figured I’d go the safe route here and take them to cover instead. Either way I’m expecting a close game to start off this second round of the CFP. No one can stop Jeanty and he’s gotta be absolutely pissed off getting snubbed of the Heisman to the real life Craig Shilo. I expect Jeanty to carry his team and give this Penn state team some trouble.

Ashton Jeanty 2+ TDs (+170) 1u

There are three things that are certain in life: Death, Taxes, and Ashton Jeanty gonna tote that rock. The fact that this isn’t at least +200 is just a testament to how much this guy scores. Hell he might be in for 3 TDs cuz this Penn State team folds against good offenses and this game will be no different. Boise State just gotta give this man the ball and watch him work that simple

Ric’s Picks:

Boise State +11.5 (-110) 1u

Penn State is coming into this game after routing SMU at home in their first playoff game. If not for two interceptions for touchdowns I think that game would’ve been at lot closer, and with Boises elite run game and given that it’s a neutral site, I think this is way too big of a number for Penn State. I think Boise State can at least keep it close enough to cover the 11.5. Something about Boise State and the Fiesta Bowl brings a different magic into the game that Penn State won’t be prepared for.

King Will’s Picks:

Boise State +11.5 (-112) 1u

The favorites rolled in round 1, but don’t fade the Broncos in the fiesta Bowl. I would argue Penn State was the weakest side to advance into the round of 8 from the round of 16. 

The number is huge because bettors have counted out the dogs after round 1. This isn’t a Penn State home game, this is a neutral site game. Ashton Jeanty had a ton of success against Oregon, look for him to score two TDs tonight. Given Penn State can’t score, 17 points should be enough to cover the 11.5… gimme Boise.

Key’s Picks:

Bosie State +11 (-112) 1u

Let’s not over think this one. Franklin is an absolute loser. Call me biased I don’t care, I will never bet on PSU unless I absolutely have to. I don’t trust that loser to win a big game. However if Bosie can’t get Jeanty going early, we gotta look to live.

Peach Bowl: Arizona State vs Texas

*Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA | Jan. 1st, 2025 1:00 PM E.T. on ESPN*

Berg’s Picks:

ASU +14.5 (-142) 3u

Texas is not scary. I’m a huge Ewers supporter but he continues to disappoint this season, I wouldn’t be surprised if ASU wins this game. 

Emperor’s Picks:

Quinn Ewers o1.5 Passing TDs (-145) 1u

ASU QB just came out and yapped to the media how he thinks he’s the better QB out of the two. All ball knowers know that is simply not true. Ewers finally has a break facing a weak defense after what’s he had to go through his last 3 games. 

Arch Manning Anytime TD (+500) 1u

I trust the Doctor when he feels something.

JIGO’s Picks:

Arizona State +12.5 (-110) 1u

Although I am going against my theory from the first game , there is something about ASU that I really like. First of all they have one of the best up and coming coaches in the NCAA in Kenny Dillingham just an absolute ball knower. Plus, they have an absolute dog in Cam Skattebo. Give me the Sun Devils to cover. 

Shep’s Picks:

Texas -12 (-108) 1u

Texas is going to overwhelm ASU. Just like PSU, Texas has a favorable matchup. ASU might have life in the 1st have and keep it slightly close but the 2nd half is where Texas is gonna walk away with W.

Logan’s Picks:

Cam Skattebo 2+ TDs (+220) 1u

After watching this guy dominate in the Big 12 championship game I love this pick. The offense clearly runs through him and this dude is a fuckin beast. He refuses to be tackled and has a nose for the end zone. He went on to call himself the best RB in college football which is obviously just not true but I love the confidence and he very well may be the 2nd best. If ASU even wants to have a chance this guy HAS to score 2 TDs so I’m anticipating the Sun Devils just feeding this guy. 

Quinn Ewers 3+ Pass TDs (+240)  1u

Honestly I don’t have much justification for this pick I just think Ewers is gonna ball and ASU has a weak ass defense. I know the Emperor loves this pick cuz he’s the biggest Quinn Ewers fan I know and I didn’t like any of the lines for this game. Hook Em 

King Will’s Picks:

Arizona State +12.5 (-110) 1u

This number may continue to go up, and I’m not sure why. Texas showed they should be favored by huge numbers in round 1 as they barely covered (didn’t for some) against a Clemson team that had playoff experience.

Just like Texas let Clemson hang around, look for them to have a tough time stopping Skatebo. If ASU doesn’t cover the number it will be because their defense can’t stop Texas, but I trust Dillingham has a plan to paralyze a Texas offense that struggles at times.

Key’s Picks:

Arizona State +12.5 (-110) 1u

Tough for me here as I do love me some Texas football. But ASU is playing possessed. I think Texas end up winning but they sure do love to make games interesting. I like the sun devils keep this close. Also helps that 66% of the public is on Texas. So fade away.

Rose Bowl: Oregon vs Ohio State

*Rose Bowl Stadium, Pasadena, CA | Jan. 1st, 2025 5:00 PM E.T. on ESPN*

Doctor Candi’s Picks:

Ohio State ML (-132) 1u

wHy iS OsU fAvOrEd? Look, the oddsmakers got fooled last week, and they are not making the same mistake twice. OSU only being 7 point favorites last week was a joke. They’re the most talented team in college football, and unfortunately for most public bettors they won’t realize this until it’s too late. This line is very telling of that. I don’t mind laying the juice here. 

Berg’s Picks:

Ohio State ML ( -134) 5u

There’s a reason Ohio state is the favorites in this game because they’re the better team. Oregon barely squeaked past them in game that could’ve went either way and they were at home. At a neutral site this time Ohio St gets it done. 

Emeka Egbuka Anytime (+125) 1u

The value is there for the senior WR. Expect him to find the endzone just like he did last time against Oregon earlier in year.

Emperor’s Picks:

• SGP (+1100) 1u
  • Jordan James TD
  • Jeremiah Smith TD
  • Emeka Egbuka TD
  • Tez Johnson TD

Is this very irresponsible? Yes. Do I really like this parlay? Yes. Last time these two teams squared off against each other all 4 of these players scored a TD. Now most would say “you are a dumb fuck for thinking that is going to happen again”. Well you may be right.  

However ignore the hate. The 4 best players on the field with a game total set at 55 on a neutral field (no weather impact) will find their ways into the endzone. Go for the gold. 

(I literally don’t know what else I’d take on this game. Complete toss up)

JIGO’s Picks:

Oregon ML (+110) 1u

Dan Lanning and the Oregon Ducks opened up as underdogs against Ohio State although they are the #1 seed. That is bulletin board material for the Ducks. If their game from October is any indication of what will happen in this game we know it will be close therefore I also like the Ducks +2 (-110).

Shep’s Picks:

Ohio State/Oregon o55.5pts (-110) 1u

I have no clue what’s gonna happen in this game. All I know is there is gonna be points. What better way to start off the year than betting an over and watching it hit.

Logan’s Picks:

Ohio State ML (-132) 1u

The best matchup of the 2nd round right here. Rematch of the best college football game this year in my opinion. Ryan Day is likely coaching for his job here and the circumstances for this game are a bit different than their first meeting. Playing at a neutral site should help Ohio State big time here as I’m sure that Oregon crowd was a huge factor in that loss the first matchup. Their defense also played terribly that game letting Dillon Gabriel launch it downfield to open receivers. If this D can tighten up then I think Ohio State should pull off the dub considering they have weapons all over the field on offense. Let the Buckeyes get their get back

Jeremiah Smith Anytime TD (-105) 1u

Ohio State is up there for WRU with LSU. Both programs just churn out ridiculous talent from this position and this freshman just adds to the recent talent that has come out of this program. 12 TDs so far as a freshman at one of the nations premier programs is just nutty. He can basically score on any given play so ya lemme hammer him with these odds.

Ric’s Picks:

Oregon ML (+108) 1u

The game of the day at the granddaddy of them all. This game comes down to two main things, QB play and coaching. Oregons offense has been unstoppable all year and will be up for a test going up against Ohio state for the second time this year. This game will be won in all 60 minutes of the game, and I’ll take Dan Lanning over Ryan day every time to secure the win. 

King Will’s Picks:

Ohio State -2.5 (-110) 1u

This Ohio state team is explosive, and I think we forgot because of an ugly loss to their biggest rival. The beat down they put on Tennessee was legendary, and Jeremiah Smith continues to improve every week. Last time Ohio State played Oregon, that time in Eugene, Ohio State was favored and Oregon snuck out a last second victory.

As Ryan Day looks for redemption in the Rose Bowl, look for an Ohio State offense to score on every possession. While a shootout plays right into oregons hands, Ohio State has the most explosive skill players in the country. Look for the Buckeyes to win the national championship.

Key’s Picks:

OSU/Oregon Over 55 (-110) 2u🔨

Love the over here.  We got to 63 last time, why not again?

Oregon +2.5 (-110) 1u

Call me biased again here, but talking about choke artists/frauds, look no further than Ryan Day. You have your best chance to beat Michigan and only score 10 points at home. SAD! Maybe I have a little sour taste in my mouth from that, so what. Oregon has been a juggernaut all year and getting points. Although 61% of public is on Oregon, wont matter.

Oregon 1H ML 1u

OSU starts out every game super slow and already backing Oregon. Let’s roll.

Sugar Bowl: Georgia vs Notre Dame

*Caesars Super Dome, New Orleans, LA| 8:45 PM E.T. on ESPN*

Picks coming soon…

Doctor Candi’s Picks:

Notre Dame +1.5 (-115) 2u

When this line opened Notre Dame -1.5, the public ran to take Georgia. This line was quickly steamed to Georgia -2 and then eventually went back to a PK line, I hopped on it at Notre Dame +1.5. Even with Beck playing I’d still like the Irish to win here. Neither QB will be asked to do much here with both passing yd lines set at 175.5 yds. However, you always have to look out for Leonard’s ability to take off and run and at least respect his ability to throw downfield (even if most throws are short intermediate passes). There’s a chance the Irish won’t show that same respect to Stockton and stack the box. I think if Georgia tries to play too safe here that it will cost them the game. I am not a fan of Notre Dame, but I will have to be come Wednesday as this is my largest bet of the week. 

Emperor’s Picks:

• SGP (RB TD Lay): (+238) 1u
  • Jeremiyah Love Anytime TD
  • Trevor Etienne Anytime TD

Two of the best RBs (when healthy) in College Football are scoring in this game. I may or may not have both them on my CFB Playoff Fantasy Team as well…

Seriously though, UGA is playing with their backup, so I’m expecting Etienne to be fed the ball. On the other hand, Love is one of the most dazzling players in CFB right now and the books have Notre Dame keeping this game close. If Notre Dame is in this game, it’s going to be because of Love. 

Expect both these gents to find the endzone. 

JIGO’s Picks:

Notre Dame ML (-105) 1u

This is the game I am most excited for this weekend. But I give the edge to Notre Dame and Riley Leonard against Georgia and their backup Gunner Stockton. 

Shep’s Picks:

Georgia -1 (-108) 1u

Kirby smart wins games. The only time he loses is when he plays Saban. Fortunately ND isn’t coached by Saban so it should be an easy dub for Georgia. Go Dawgs.

Logan’s Picks:

Georgia -1.5 (-105) 1u

A lot of people are probably looking at this game thinking ND is a great pick cuz the dawgs don’t got Carson Beck. Well that’s just plain idiotic to me cuz Carson Beck is hot ass and this Gunnar Stockton kid went out and beat a very good Texas team in crunch time. I hate Georgia personally but they always find a way to win these big games and have gone through the gauntlet of the SEC. I don’t think they’re scared of an ND team that plays a pee wee schedule and gets a bye every conference championship week cuz they’re independent. The Irish are not ready for this ass whooping they about to get. DAWGS BY A MILLY. (Also a word of advice to Carson Beck: drop out of the draft and go play in the MAC where you belong. Also don’t get caught in 4k telling chicks their tits get you rock hard with your face in the picture dumbass)

Ric’s Picks:

Georgia ML (-111) 1u

The biggest storyline of this game coming in is Georgia being without starting QB Carson Beck. But in an odd way I think this could give Georgia a better shot. Freshman QB Gunner Stockton has an elite High School Resume, beating out Deshaun Watson and Trevor Lawrence’s Georgia State records for Passing Yards, Passing touchdowns and rushing touchdowns. I believe he gives them a different dynamic they didn’t have with Beck. Notre Dame hasn’t seen a defense like Georgia and I think that will be the X factor. 

King Will’s Picks:

Georgia -1.5 (-105) 1u

A lot of hesitancy surrounding Georgia due to the lack of Carson Beck. I’m here to tell you I never bet the dawgs because if their crackhead QB, I bet the dogs because their defense is arguably the best in the country.

There was a lot of Pressure on ND in round 1, but that was at home against an inferior opponent. This time they have a nuetral site game against the most dominant program of the last 7 years.

Because of an upgrade at QB (Stocktons a dog) and the location of the game (these are always psuedo Georgia home games)…look for Georgia to roll the Irish in a lower scoring game.

Key’s Picks:

Georgia ML 1u (-111) 1u

Don’t love this game, really is a toss up. Idk if ND can handle the best defense they’ve seen all year. Really comes down to Gunner Stockton for UGA. I honestly thought that UGA looked a little better with him under center vs a fraud beck. So I’ll ride with UGA and will also look to live bet UGA if they go down early.

Bonus Plays (Not Tracked)

• Doctor’s TD Parlay (+12302)
  • Drew Allar Anytime TD
  • Arch Manning Anytime TD
  • Will Howard Anytime TD
  • Riley Leonard Anytime TD