2 Rounds down, 2 to go. We have arrived to the 24-25 College Football Playoff Final Four!

Below the fellas break down and preview both Semifinal Bowl Games of the 24-25 College Football Playoff Final Four.

Operation Bankrupt Vegas begins now…

Cotton Bowl: Texas vs Ohio State

*AT&T Stadium, Arlington, TX| Friday Jan. 10th, 2024 7:30 PM E.T. on ESPN*

JIGO’s Picks:

Texas +6 (-110) 2u | Texas ML (+185) 1u

This may be due to my Texas to Win National Championship +800 ticket bias (how are ya) . But truly I believe the moment and pressure is quickly catching up to fraud Ryan Day and the Buckeyes. We have seen it over and over again with Ohio State since Day has taken over as head coach so don’t let their win over Tennessee and Oregon fool you. Texas is basically playing a home game here as well so keep that in mind.

Yes Texas barely escaped ASU but that was due to simple football plays that went ASU’s way (and because Skattebo is a freak). Texas is going to clean up their act and win this football game. 

Player Props:

• Quinn Ewers O 243.5 Passing Yards (-114) 1 Unit

Logan’s Picks:

Ohio State -5.5 (-114) 1u

Fuck the Emperor that guy doesn’t know ball he’s just the biggest Quinn Ewers dick rider on the fuckin planet.

Ohio State is the hottest team in college football right now with elite offensive weapons all over the field. Only way to stop this offense right now is to put a 12th man on defense every play and hope no one notices. Texas however, is extremely inconsistent on offense and goes from looking like a well oiled machine to an absolute dumpster fire in the matter of a couple drives. If they do that this game they are dead in the water and Ohio State will give them the belt worse than they gave it to Oregon last week.

Fuck Texas, Fade the Emperor, Go Buckeyes! O-H I-O

Key’s Picks:

Texas +7.5 (-149) 1u

To be clear, I’m buying the extra point and half on DK. I’m pretty torn on this as OSU is red hot and Texas looks vulnerable. But we do have 65% public on OSU as of writing this on Wednesday. I do feel like this line is a little inflated because of how hot OSU has been and how Texas almost

Choked against ASU. 

There’s good matchups on both sides of the ball. OSU has a stout run defense but you can pass on them. On the other side, Texas is soft in the middle, but their secondary is as good as it comes. One stat I did like that makes me feel better about Texas is that OSU plays a lot of cover 1 and Ewers apparently feasts on cover 1’s. But either way gut tells me that this one is going to go back and forth and if that’s the case then I’ll happily take the points. I will also look to live Texas anything over 10+.

Emperor’s Picks:

Texas +6.5 (-115) 5u  | Texas ML (+238 *BetMGM Boost) 1u

The entire world is betting against Texas here and I love it.

Everyone got baited because of the curb stomping OSU put on Oregon. If you are taking the Buckeyes you are a fool for numerous reasons.

1. This line started at 4. It went up to 6.5 within less than an hour. Does that not raise any suspicion to you?
2. 65% of the public is on OSU -6 at the moment I’m writing this
3. 84% of the public is on OSU ML at the moment I’m writing this.

Now I’m not saying the Buckeyes are bad whatsoever but being 6.5 point favorites vs a very talented Texas team that matches up pound for pound against them is just absurd. 

The Longhorns still haven’t even reached their full potential this entire season. I think the Buckeyes just did last week.

I love this play. Gimme Texas +6.5  as my first multi unit bet of the year. 5 units (Half a Legacy for Emperor fans. IFYKYK)!🔨 🔨🔨

Message for Log: Hook Em and Hold deez. And yes I added in the Moneyline.

Doctor Candi’s Picks:

Ohio State 1-23 win margin (-129) 1u

***How to place: SGP OSU ML + Texas +23.5***

OSU -7 vs Tennessee was absolutely free. OSU -2.5 last week was absolutely free. This time around Ohio State will be the “square” public bet, and sportsbooks are putting respect on their name with this line. I recognize that the -5.5 line might be a bit inflated. To be honest, if Ohio State was playing literally any other team in the country right now they would be favored by more than a TD, that’s how good they are. It is a bit scary that it feels like we’ve perhaps seen the ceiling for OSU and not Texas. And maybe I’m a sucker for it, but I think they win this game. I’m not laying the -220, I have enough respect for Texas to feel confident that they’ll cover the +23.5, and if they don’t I’ll just tip my cap.

The win margin bets have been red hot, let’s add 1 more to the win column.

Shep’s Picks:

Texas/Ohio State o53.5 pts (-110) 1u

After watching OSU last week I think they will win the Championship. They have been firing on all cylinders the last few weeks and will most likely continue to do so. If Texas’s defense gave up 24 points to ASU then I’m assuming that OSU will get the over themselves. I don’t know what the outcome of this game is going to be. Texas is great at times and folds when the lights are bright. OSU only folds when playing Michigan.

When you can’t pick a winner you should always root for points.

Ric’s Picks:

Ohio State -5.5 (-114) 5u

You might hate it, the country hates it, even I hate it, but unfortunately Ohio State is the playing the best football in the county right now and they’re also the most talented. Texas matches up well against them, but I haven’t seen them show me anything this year that’s made me think that they’ve even been the best team in the country and that’s how they’ll have to play in order to beat Ohio State. Texas should have put Arizona State away numerous times, and failed to which lead the game to go into OT. They made several mental errors that led to major momentum shifts, like the Quinn Ewers arm punt right after the ASU trick play touchdown. It just didn’t make sense. Ohio State has NFL weapons all over the offense and have a veteran defense that has made plays all year. Somebody give the emperor a hug because this one might get ugly fast.

Emeka Egbuka Anytime TD (+115) 1u

With how good Jeremiah Smith has been all year, I think people forget how good Egbuka is. Soon to be a first round pick, Egbuka is set for a lot of opportunity in this game. After watching Oregon refuse to cover Jeremiah Smith last week, I can’t see how Texas won’t come out throwing the kitchen sink at him to get him off his game, which will lead to 1 on 1 coverage all game for Egbuka. 

King Will’s Picks:

Ohio State -5.5 (-114) 3u

Is this one a trap, have we all bought in too heavy to the Ohio state hype train? No… instead id argue this line should be 10. Ohio state looks like an NFL team while Texas has played the two toughest games of any teams in the field. Look for a rested OSU to run it up early against a tired overmatched longhorn defense. Over 53.5 -110 is free money at FD as well. 2u

Jeremiah Smith 2+ TDs (OSU) (+330) Sprinkle

NFL speed NFL size and an NFL play caller. I’d argue most of Texas defensive talent is in the front seven. Look for Smith to have a day against a dazed Longhorns secondary

Berg’s Picks:

Ohio State -5.5 (-114) 1u

Best team in college football been saying it since start of playoffs. Ohio state will win comfortably and take on Penn st in the big ten natty championship.

Will Howard Anytime TD (+270) .5u

Will has been dealing through the air all postseason, I expect Texas so be ready for this and will cause many more scramble opportunities especially in the redzone.

Orange Bowl: Penn State vs Notre Dame

*Miami Orange Bowl, Miami, FL | Thursday Jan. 9th, 2024 7:30 PM E.T. on ESPN*

JIGO’s Picks:

Notre Dame -1 (-110) 5u

Notre Dame vs Penn State is the Even Teams setting in NCAA Football, legitimately the Spider Mans pointing at each meme come to life…

These two teams couldn’t be more like one another. Both stellar defenses, both play extremely physical on both sides of the ball, and both have elite running games.

I honestly believe Penn State edges Notre Dame slightly in the talent aspect with the
better “true” Quarterback in Drew Allar and having the best playmaker on the offensive side of the ball in Tyler Warren along with no question the best player on the field at any given time in Abdul Carter. Yet… I believe in Notre Dame and their own strengths. I believe that Riley Leonard is a better quarterback than Drew Allar although more than half of America will disagree with me. His dual threat ability adds so much dimension to Notre Dame’s offense that I think will help the Irish prevail. Leonards ability to run creates somewhat of a triple option offense for ND that lets him run, Jeremiyah Love to run, and for Leonard to throw to, although not elite TE & WR’s, a decent amount of talented wide outs nonetheless.

If you want to disregard the in depth reasoning of why I think the Irish will when this is what you need to know. I do think I KNOW the Notre Dame Fighting Irish are going to win and here’s why

• Marucs Freeman ＞Big Games Jame Franklin (guy shits himself in the spotlight)
• WHITE CATHOLIC MALE FROM BOSTON … GO IRISH! ☘️
• https://open.spotify.com/track/5ueyUIOcH7iDpNzuR1LsKn?si=b6be1a30edef4f68

Jigo’s Player Props for PSU/ND:

• Tyler Warren o5.5 Receptions (-170) 1u
• Jeremiyah Love o35.5 Rushing Yards (-114) 1u

Logan’s Picks:

Penn State ML (+100) 1u

I know I’m going against my theory here that James Franklin sucks and can’t win big games, but it’s only because Penn states offense has looked tremendous their last 3 games (which were all very big games).

Notre Dame on the other hand has gotten here by dominating on defense. I’m anticipating Penn State’s offense to outscore Notre Dame’s offense plain and simple. Penn State has a pretty good run defense and they proved that last week against the best RB in the country.

If Notre Dame has to rely on Riley Leonard throwing the ball then forget about it Penn State will walk right into the finals.

All the Notre Dame goobers are mad annoying also, like join a conference and play a real schedule you muppets. I will be starting a petition after this CFP that Notre Dame should be banned from the playoff until they join a conference. Let’s go Allar! (Even though you look like the biggest tiktoker douchebag ever)

Key’s Picks:

Notre Dame ML 1u (-118) 1u (1 unit, leave room to live)

Death. Taxes. I refuse bet on losers like Franklin. 

Back to the well, as I picked Bosie last week and they disappointed the game spread, but I also said to take live if Jeanty can’t get going and they covered the live 21.5. PSU will finally play a legit opponent and they will be exposed. Granted they can only play who’s in front of them, doesn’t change the facts they played cupcakes.

Now the unbiased reason to fade PSU. Yes Allar has turned some heads and if he decides to declare for the draft, he’s definitely raised his stock. But if there’s one flaw to his game and the offensive line right now, it’s his/their inability to handle blitzing. And ND loves to blitz and are one of the best in doing it. So unless there’s some major adjustment coming, it should be a long night for Allar. Also on the PSU defensive side, they are more banged up. The biggest injury being their best edge rusher in Abdul Carter (shoulder), he probably gives it a go, but how healthy is he? Maybe Franklin gets some magic soccer spray and he’s fully healthy all sudden. Who knows, but either way for these reasons I’m going ND and if they go down at any point and are getting +3 live, I’ll be hammering

Bonus Teaser -130 (to win 1u) DK:

• ND +7.5
• Texas +14.5 

Emperor’s Picks:

Penn State/Notre Dame o44.5 (-115) 1u

Such a Public bet but I don’t care. I’ve been sick as a Dog (props to me being able to get my picks in and edit for this article for the goblins) and have had it with this work week (I’ve worked 2 days so far). 

This game is a legit pickem. I have no idea who’s gonna win so I’m going to root for points. That’s always mandatory. 

When in doubt, take the over.

Notre Dame ML (-118) 1u

Well I did just say I was going to just root for points but I wrote that like 5 hours before this additional pick. JIGO just got me fired up in the ReRackPicks groupchat so fuck it, lets Go Irish. 

Can’t stand Penn State anyways. And sure the Public loves Notre Dame, but they also love the Over. Is it a Public Day? I think so. #TailJigo #TailKey

Doctor Candi’s Picks:

Penn State +2.5 (-111) 3u 

If you’ve been following along on my CFB playoff betting journey, we cashed the Notre Dame SGP in round 1 and cashed our ND ML mega-bet last week. The road ends here!!!! jAmEs fRaNkLiN cAnT wIn ThE BiG oNe. Notre Dame’s offense was not good and it got glossed over by the fact that their defense was consistently winning in the redzone, drawing turnovers and getting huge stops. Special teams were huge last week. It really seems like that game just beat the hell out of Notre Dame while PSU is coming off of back to back scrimmages. The public just continues to be 1 step behind….it’s embarrassing. PSU ML for a mortgage!!!

Riley Leonard u54.5 Rush Yards (-112) 1u

Last week felt like the ceiling for Leonard’s rushing yards. 14 carries for 80 yards, and 2 of them were kneel downs so really only 12 actual rush attempts. Leonard had to play hero ball last week. Their O-line was big dicking Georgia, nothing was opening up downfield, Love got injured, so their only option became Riley Leonard up the middle……over and over again. I can’t see that happening again. Its also important to note that Leonard was only sacked once last week (sack yards count towards negative rush yds in college). Love should eat into that chunk and take some pressure off their QB. I also expect PSU to kill some clock. If ND is trailing which they will be, they’re going to need Leonard to make some plays through the air. I expect a stat line closer to what we saw vs Indiana, 11 carries for 30 yards and 2 sacks. Lots of value on the under here. 

Shep’s Picks:

Penn State ML (-102) 2u

This is the year James Franklin is going to prove the media and haters wrong. Yes, Penn State has not played well against ranked teams in the past. The loss to OSU early in the year was absolutely terrible. The loss in the Big10 Championship wasn’t bad though. They were able to stay competitive with the #1 team in the country. As long as the defense keeps playing dominant football it should be an easy win for Penn State. I don’t trust Riley Leonard enough to believe he can beat PSU in a shootout with his arm.

Ric’s Picks:

Penn State/Notre Dame o45 (-110) 2u

Although both of these teams lean on their elite defenses, I think both offenses have been finding their rhythm enough to push this total over. Combine that with a few key turnovers inside their own 50 that leads to an easy score and you get your 45. I can bring myself to pick a side here, either team can come out flat and I’ll be kicking myself for trusting a known choking coach like Franklin. Keys to watch for this game will be the health of Notre Dames star running back Jeremiyah Love and Penn States future top 5 pick Abdul Carter. The health of these two will be important to both teams ability to win this football game. 

Jeremiyah Love u35.5 Rushing Yards (-110) 1u

This pick comes down to the fact that I just don’t think Jeremiyah Love’s Knee is 100% and truthfully I think it’s a lot worse that what the public knows. He’s carried the ball just 14 times over the past two games and take out his one 98 yard run and he’s ran 13 times for 29 yards.

This has nothing to do with his talent or even Penn State’s defense, just that I don’t believe in the health of his knee and his ability to make jumps and cuts on game day to reach his full potential. 

King Will’s Picks:

Penn State/Notre Dame o45.5 (-102) 2u

This games a pick em, features a potential second round QB from this year and a potential first rounder next year. These programs are notorious for their defense and run game, but I believe that has been factored into the total. Both teams are well coached and these CFP games have been flying over. Don’t over think it play the fun bet and cash with the public.

Anytime TDs with Value: Kaytron Allen (PSU) (+105) Sprinkle

The QB run game is not a factor for Penn State. Lots of value here.

Anytime TDs with Value: Jordan Faison (ND) (+350) Sprinkle

If you’ve seen this kid play you know +350 is good value. He will be a big part of the gameplan.

Berg’s Picks:

Penn State ML (+100) 1u

I hate Penn St as they are all time chokers, but I think they pull out a victory against a team like ND. Gotta go with the better QB in Allar here. 

Drew Allar Over 183.5 passing yards (-114) 1u

All the buzz whether or not Allar will be entering the draft really gives me confidence in this pick. I think he shows out and beats ND and this win alone will improve his stock heavily.