24-25 NFL Divisional Weekend: Preview & Picks for Degenerates

24-25 NFL Divisional Weekend: Preview & Picks for Degenerates

Wildcard weekend went pretty much as expected for some; honestly, it was mid at best. A quick little recap… The If Man struck again, most favorites dominated, lots of unders, and ultimately all games not being that much fun (besides Commanders/Bucs). Heading into Divisional Week we are hoping for a complete 180.

Below the fellas from @rerackpicks break down their picks for each Divisional game this weekend. May the Football Gods bless us all as we prepare for battle.

Operation Bankrupt Vegas begins now…

The ReRack Network Divisional Weekend Parlay

Odds via. BetMGM (+3981)

  • Xavier Worthy Anytime TD
  • Jameson Williams Anytime TD
  • A.J. Brown Anytime TD
  • Josh Allen Anytime TD

Saturday Games

Houston Texans @ Kansas City Chiefs

*Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, MO| 4:30 PM E.T. on ESPN/ABC*

Santi’s Picks:

  • SGP (-125) 1u
    • Chiefs -2.5
    • Game Total Under 47.5

It’s hard to get people to collectively agree on one thing at all times, but I think it’s safe to say we can all agree on never betting against Mahomes in the playoffs. The Chiefs are the better team on both sides of the ball in this matchup. I brought up the fact that the Chargers defense wouldn’t be able to exploit the Texans offensive line last week; that is not the case this week. Chris Jones and company are going to be in Stroud’s nightmares for weeks to come after this game ends, I don’t see the Texans being able to generate much offense in this one. On the other side, the Chiefs are still a very capable offense. The thing about the Chiefs is that they are seemingly playing safe football this year. They take care of the ball, put together decent drives that can take some nice chunks off the clock, and score enough points where they can then rely on their defense to keep them ahead. At the time of writing there’s also some word on a potential snow game which would only help the under in this one. Give me the Chiefs -2.5 & the alternate under 47.5 in this one. 

Doctor Candi’s Picks:

  • SGP (-129) 1u
    • Mahomes 175+ Pass Yards 
    • Worthy 25+ Receiving Yards
    • Mixon 50+ Rushing & Receiving Yards
    • Under 56.5

My initial thought was to tease the Texans and the under. However, I feel really good about all of these props, I liked all of these overs at their regular lines as well. The Chiefs I expect will dominate time of possession, it’s hard to see Mahomes not throwing for 175 here just based on sheer volume. I know a lot of people are going to race to Kelce, I’m still going to trust Worthy as the #1 until I see otherwise. The Chiefs are capable of sustaining 10 minute drives, and I expect the Texans defense to make sure some of those result in field goals and not touchdowns. Feel great about under 56.5. Lets get rich!!!!!

Emperor’s Picks:

Travis Kelce Anytime TD (+150) 1u

Well we all know now the Chiefs are gonna try which means Travis Kelce will be getting involved.

In Kelce’s career, he has played in 22 playoff games. In those 22 playoff games, Kelce has scored 19 TDs. +Money on TD Kelce? Yeah I’ll take that any day.

John Metchie Anytime TD (+700) 0.5u

With the Texans a 2 score dawg here, many (including myself) think Texans will be playing from behind this game which means one thing. A Texans Passing Game will be there only chance to keep them in it.

Metchie is literally WR2 on this team. Woods has been questionable all week, Dionte Johnson was cut, and Spags will clearly focus heavy on shutting down Nico Collins. 

BAMA Metchie I need you. The world needs you to return. This weekend you will return. You’re a Saturday baller anyways, fuck Sundays.

Burg’s Picks:

Travis Kelce Anytime TD (+150) 2u

Playoff kelce he turns up when it matters most, he will find his way into the endzone, so they can pan the camera to Taylor swift and Mahomes’ miserable wife celebrating.

King Will’s Picks:

Chiefs Team Total First Half o13.5 (+100) 5u

Andy Reid of a super bye. Mahomes with his healthiest weapons since he had Tyreek and Travis. This chiefs team has started sluggish this season, but look for a dominant first half this Saturday. The Chiefs are going to make a statement. Biggest bet of the weekend.

  • SGP (+313) 0.5u
    • Chiefs Team Total First Half over 13.5
    • Patrick Mahomes 200+ Passing Yards
    • Isiah Pacheco over 7.5 1st Quarter Rushing yards

This game script parlay at +300 shows some insane value. I would expect Pacheco to have at least one 5 yard carry early in the game to secure that 1st Q leg on the opening possession.

Key’s Picks:

Chiefs -8.5 (-108) 1u

The public thinks the chiefs have gotten lucky all year, barely winning all year long and everyone seems to believe their luck is going to run out. But are the Texans actually going to be the team to do it? Fear not, as that answer is absolutely not. Are you really going to trust a team that lost to the jets on the road? Ya shouldn’t. Plus Reid is a superior coach to Ryans. I feel like this is going to be last weeks broncos/bills game where everyone including myself bought into the “broncos are going to give them a fight” garbage. Mahomes is the 🐐 until further notice. Plus KC coming off a bye, healthy, Reid and extra week to prepare. Thanks for playing Texans!

Washington Commanders @ Detroit Lions

*Ford Field, Detroit, MI| 8:00 PM E.T. on FOX*

Santi’s Picks:

  • SGP (-112) 1u
    • Both Teams 20+ Points
    • Jayden Daniels 40+ Rushing Yards

Lots of stuff going on here, but I think it should be free. The Lions defense is extremely banged up, and the Commanders are no joke. I trust the Lions offense to put up 20, but the reasoning behind the rest of this SGP is due to the fact that the Lions defense struggles against 2 things. Slot WR’s and mobile QB’s. Jayden should be able to utilize his legs in this one to keep the commanders in the game and on the scoreboard. I’m considering an additional straight play on Jayden’s rush yards, but we’ll see how the vibes are after the chiefs game. 

Doctor Candi’s Picks:

  • SGP (-129) 1u
    • Jared Goff 200+ Passing Yards 
    • Amon-Ra 40+ Receiving Yards 
    • Jayden Daniels 150+ Passing Yards  
    • McLaurin 25+ Receiving Yards 
    • Under 72.5

Now, people are going to bitch about this under, but I’m just taking advantage of reverse correlation here. That under 72.5 brought the price tag down from -192 to -129, and you boys know I don’t lay -200 juice. Anyone can come on here and tell you to take a -200, I try to stay under -130 juice. I’d actually lean the lions and the under in this game but I do like both of these passing offenses. All of these props should come in very easily. These teams are also capable of milking clock on long sustained drives. I think Detroit’s defense is capable of bending but not breaking here. I think this SGP will be sweat free.

Emperor’s Picks:

  • The Bill Russell TD SGP  (+30000) 5u
    • Jahmyr Gibbs Anytime TD
    • Amon-Ra St. Brown Anytime TD
    • Jameson Williams Anytime TD
    • Scary Terry Anytime TD
    • Jayden Daniels Anytime TD
    • Zach Ertz Anytime TD

I failed all of you soldiers last week, so no one should be tailing, especially on such a big stakes bet like a 5 unit missile play. 

That being said, I’m going for the fucking gold. 5units to turn it into job salary type money. WHY THE FUCK NOT?!? 

Now don’t get me wrong, 5 units is highly irresponsible but when ever other sports book has this parlay maxed at +12000 and I can snag it on DraftKings for more than double, sign me the fuck up. Love the value. 

Over is set at 56 here on most books, Vegas expects a lot of touchdowns. I expect a lot of touchdowns. Let the show begin. This takes me out the sewers and straight to a penthouse. 

And tho those wondering why this is called the Bill Russell Anytime TD SGP, it’s quite simple.. Bill Russell wore the jersey #6. Bill Russell is really known for one thing. Being the ultimate winner. Saturday I become the ultimate winner. Let’s ride.

Burg’s Picks:

Jayden Daniels Jones o1.5 Passing TDs (+100) 2u

I’ve been hating on this guy all season, but he’s legit. Besides Mahomes he’s the most clutch QB in the league, he always finds a way to keep his team in the game and come through in the end when it matters most. I would take commanders to cover the spread, but I just don’t know with how good the lions are. I think it’s safe to take a plus money shot at him firing two passing tds, he’s covered this in his last 6 games.

Ric’s Picks:

Austin Ekeler 25+ Receiving Yards (-115) 1u

Ekeler gets the nod for me, the commies are going to have to score to keep up with Detroit and if they want to have any shot of winning this game they’re going to have to be effective in the passing game. The lions have allowed this mark to the past 4 starting running backs they’ve played ( Aaron Jones, Isaac Gurrendo, Deandre Swift, and James Cook)

King Will’s Picks:

Key’s Picks:

Commanders +9.5 (-125) 1u

I hate betting against the Lions, they are a well-oiled machine, but their defense is still very banged up. Commanders have fought all year long. Maybe it gets ugly quickly, but I trust JD and Terry to bare minimum back door this for us. Also public is 50/50 on this as well, so truly a toss-up game. 

Sunday Games

Los Angeles Rams @ Philadelphia Eagles

*Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA| 3:00 PM E.T. on NBC*

Santi’s Picks:

Eagles -5.5 (-128) 1u

I should be at this game, I had my go-pro & gofundme page ready and all. Nevertheless, chalk this one up as another win for the Birds. I’m still standing by my word from the last article where I said Philly will be representing the NFC in the superbowl. The Rams looked good last week, but the biggest reason they won that game was due to their defense. 9 sacks, a fumble recovery for a touchdown & an interception is just something that won’t be repeated. The Rams didn’t even rack up 300 yards of total offense. This Eagles team was seemingly crafted in a lab, they are truly a mismatch for any team that they come across. The Eagles defense will be able to contain the Rams offense. I see this game simply coming down to the Rams edge rushers being able to generate pressure on Hurts and cause havoc, but I don’t think that’ll be a problem for Philly. Give me the Eagles -5.5 in this one.  

Doctor Candi’s Picks:

Puka Nacua o2.5 Rushing Yards (-113) 0.5u

Here’s one that no one else in America is betting. This Eagles defensive….I’m worried for Stafford’s safety. When these teams faced off in the regular season, the Rams didn’t stand a chance as Stafford had a fraction of a second to throw before he was immediately pressured. They’re going to need to find creative ways to move the ball, and I’m confident that Puka will get the opportunity to pound the rock once or twice. 

  • SGP (-150) 1u
    • Hurts 150+ Passing Yards  
    • AJ Brown 25+ Receiving Yards 
    • Devonta Smith 25+ Receiving Yards 
    • Eagles +4.5

I really don’t like laying -150 juice but I just feel so good about all of these legs. Expect Hurts and the Eagles to shake off the rust here, I’d lean Eagles spread, and I’d also lean over on Hurts passing yards and Devonta Smith receiving yards. 

Emperor’s Picks:

Saquon Barkley Anytime TD (-170) 1u

Should have scored last week. He’s scoring in the snow game today.

Burg’s Picks:

Saquon Barkley Anytime TD (-170) 2u

Saquon put up Madden numbers vs the rams last time around. I don’t like the -170 odds but this one is a layup. Saquon is also not going back-to-back games without scoring a TD, it’s just not gonna happen.

Ric’s Picks:

Eagles -6.5 (-110) 1u

Give me all of the snow, the more the merrier. Thank you Jared Verse for giving us Philly fans another reason to be annoying. Boy did that man fuck up. The Cali boys are in for a rough ride on Sunday with the weather heading below freezing with 20 mph wind and expecting up to 5 inches of snow. The weather plays perfectly into the eagles style of play, hard nose football in the trenches. Give me the birds by a big number. 

King Will’s Picks: coming soon…

Key’s Picks:

Eagles -6 (-125) 1u

I hate Philly as much as the next guy but they are rolling and as good as the rams looked last week, I just can’t come around to the idea of them going on the road and beating a superior team. West cost team playing in the cold. Don’t see it. Also 63% of public is on the Rams so Philly it is.

Baltimore Ravens @ Buffalo Bills

*Highmark Stadium, Erie County, NY| 6:30 PM E.T. on CBS*

Santi’s Picks:

Josh Allen over 8.5 Rush Attempts (-114) 1u | Josh Allen o45.5 Rushing Yards (-114) 2u

We get to see the 2 MVP candidates battle it out in what should be the AFC championship game. It’s a mandatory rule to bet on Josh to run in big games, they save him for times like these. Josh didn’t utilize his legs in the first matchup against Baltimore (5 carries) this season and they ended up getting blown out by 25 points. The Bills will have to think outside the box in this rematch  to get a run game established against this tough Ravens run defense. Not including the horrific outing against the Ravens in week 4, the Bills have faced off against 4 playoff teams. In those 4 matchups, Allen has averaged 9.25 carries & 64.5 rush yards per game. I’m not opposed to a potential ladder play on the rush yards, there’s some solid odds for 60+ (+185) at the time of writing. I’ll play it safe and go with Josh over 8.5 rush attempts & over 45.5 rush yards.

Doctor Candi’s Picks:

Ravens +1.5 (-120) 1.5u | Lamar Jackson over 217.5 pass yds (-113) 1u | King Henry u23.5 1Q Rushing Yards (-114) 1u

tHe RaVeNs TeAm Is BeTter bUt jOsH aLlEn iS tHaT gUy! That’s all I keep hearing. Lamar Jackson, I don’t know if you’ve heard, is also that guy. I took this line right when it opened. I think the bills strategy will be to sell out to stop the run and make Lamar Jackson beat them. And while that’s probably their best option, I think they’ll realize quickly that Lamar Jackson is going to make them pay. I’d lean Lamar over 1.5 pass TD (-108) as well but not an official play. Ravens are winning the big one this year. 

Emperor’s Picks:

Josh Allen Anytime TD (+110) 1u

Josh Allen o293.5 Passing & Rushing Yards (-110) 1u

Burg’s Picks:

Bills ML (+100) 5u

Please ignore anything you see from Logan or Candi about this game, if you want to make money. Everyone keeps saying that the Ravens will run all over them, just like when they played last time. Honestly, they can run for 400 yards I don’t care. The Bills are at home, The Bills don’t lose snow football games and Josh Allen is a significantly better playoff QB than Lamar Jackson. The Bills will find a way to win this game and another rematch between the Bills and Chiefs will take place.

King Will’s Picks: coming soon…

Key’s Picks:

Ravens ML (-118) 1u

As a Jet fan I won’t root for the Bills. But this game is another toss-up. I’m just going to trust that the future MVP in Lamar gets it done on Sunday. 

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