24-25 College Football Playoff Championship: Preview & Picks for Degenerates
And just like that, we have finally arrived to our last College Football Game of the year, the 24-25 CFP National Championship Game.
Below a few of the fellas from @rerackpicks break down their picks for the Chip.
Operation Bankrupt Vegas begins now…
Championship Game: Notre Dame vs Ohio State
* Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA | Jan. 20th, 2024 7:30 PM E.T. on ESPN*
Santi’s Picks:
Ohio State -7.5 (-118) 2u | Ohio State Alternate Spread -13.5 (+148) 0.5u
I know a lot of Notre Dame fans and absolutely zero Ohio State fans, as much as I want to see the Irish win this game it’s just not happening. Ohio State is peaking at the right time, they’re a talented team on both sides of the ball and their offense is something that I don’t think this Notre Dame defense will be able to handle that well. Without limiting the opponents on offense, Notre Dame gets forced out of their comfort zone. If we get into a situation where it comes down to the Irish fully relying on the pass game, this one might get out of hand. I think this is gonna be the same scenario as the past 2 years where people think the puppy actually has the capability to hang with the big dog. In the last two seasons we’ve seen TCU face off against Georgia (Lost by 58) & Washington take on Georgia (Lost by 21). When it comes to the college football playoffs I am a strong believer in backing who you think is the better team no matter how big the spread may be. People may be sketched out by a 7.5 point spread in a championship game, but the past 6 national championship teams have all won by a margin of at least 15+ points. Give me the Buckeyes -7.5 and let’s sprinkle them to win by 2 touchdowns as well and follow the championship trend.
Doctor Candi’s picks:
- SGP (-125) 1u
- OSU ML
- Notre Dame +23.5
- Jeremiah Smith 25+ Receiving Yards
Anyone that’s been loyal knows exactly what brought us here, and that is the win margin bets. We remain undefeated with these bets, and I love it again here. I don’t believe in Notre Dame’s offense I thought they should’ve lost to PSU, but the defense is good enough for this game not to get completely out of hand. Even if OSU goes up by 30, we have the opportunity for a garbage-time cover which we love. The Jeremiah Smith prop should be a sweat-free juice reducer, if that doesn’t hit I might have to quit gambling and start reading a book.
JIGO’s Picks:
Notre Dame +8.5 (-110) 5u
It seems as if all of America is overlooking the Fighting Irish in this game and it shows with Vegas giving Ohio State the 8.5 points. I’ll be the one to let America know that the Irish are going to cover this disrespectful line.
Ohio State has run through their first three opponents in the CFB Playoffs beating each of the teams by double digits. Therefore I can see why everyone thinks they will do the same thing against ND but this is where OSU’s dominance comes to an end. Marcus Freeman and the Irish play football the way it was meant to be played… BLUE COLLARED and GRITTY. Riley Leonard and his duel threat ability will be able to bleed to clock therefore preventing OSU to run up the score. I truly believe this game will come down to coaching rather than the skill of the players and I trust Marcus Freeman over R(etard)yan Day.
Notre Dame ML (+310) 1u
Might as well take the Fighting Irish on the ML while I’m at, as I truly believe they win this game. NEVER BET AGAINST GOD.
Jeremiyah Love O44.5 Rushing Yards (-104) 1u | Riley Leonard O36.5 Rushing Yards (-114) 1u | Jeremiah Smith O5.5 Receptions (+110) 1u
Log’s Picks:
Ohio State -4.5 (Alt spread) (-186) 1u
I have to confess I was wrong to some degree about Notre Dame. Bravo to them for making it this far because I never thought they would get to this game. That being said I’ve been on Ohio State this entire CFP and I ain’t stopping here. They have legitimate talent all across the board and you saw that last week against Texas when they were able to close out a close game vs. a tough team to beat. The line is currently at 8.5 which I think is a bit high so I’m cutting some points here even though I wouldn’t be shocked if they covered that. In my opinion it comes down to this: Ohio State has been playing their best ball when it matters most and beat 3 very good teams to get to this point in Tennessee, Undefeated Oregon, and a gritty Texas team. On the other hand, Notre Dame had a relatively easy path to get here playing a good but unproven Indiana team, a Georgia team without its starting QB, and a fraud ass Penn State team (that choked the game away). The way this Ohio State team is playing right now is levels ahead of any of the teams they’ve faced so far to get here. Notre Dame isn’t as bad as I originally thought, but they are walking into a whole different ball game here. Them Bucks are different.
Jeremiah Smith Anytime TD (-135) 1u
If it ain’t broke don’t fix it. This guy has had a tremendous playoff run and I’m not trying to go against the trend here. I know he didn’t have a great game against Texas but that’s one of the few teams that can lock him up given how good their defense is. This guy can break away and score any given play and personally I don’t think there’s anyone on this Notre Dame defense that can stop him. I expect Ohio State to feed him heavily this game
Jeremiyah Love Anytime TD (+140) 1u
I highly doubt Notre Dame will get shutout this game and if there’s one person I like to score for them this game it’s Jeremiyah Love. He runs the ball hard and is able to break multiple tackles on his runs. If Notre Dame gets in the red zone a couple times I’m pretty positive this guy will be able to find the end zone at least one of those times. I can tell you with certainty that this guy should have a bunch of touches given how much Notre Dame runs the ball.
Jeremiah Smith o79.5 Receiving Yards (-114) 1u
Counting on a bounce back game for this guy. He’s a freshman that could be a 1st round pick this year if he was eligible. That’s how good he is. He has that big play ability where he could hit this in 3 receptions. I’m banking on him having a huge game for Ohio State.
Jeremiyah Love o40.5 Rushing Yards (-114) 1u
This line just seems too low to me. I’m expecting him to get at least 15 touches so I don’t understand how the books could set a line this low. Even though Ohio State has a great defense 41 yards over the course of a whole game should be very easy for him just because he runs so hard and is a good back. On top of that Notre Dame is a run heavy team so I just can’t comprehend this line at all. I don’t know maybe this some classic Vegas bait but I don’t care I’m taking the cheese.
Will Howard 250+ Passing Yards (+104) 1u
Will Howard is BALLIN in the playoffs. Emphasis on ballin cuz he is ballin. Can’t say it enough cuz he has torn up every defense put in front of him. He has cleared this line easily in all 3 playoff games against very good teams. I feel like this is some low hanging fruit cuz how are you gonna give this line at plus money when he hasn’t been close to hitting the under of this line in all 3 playoff games. Also this is arguably the worst team they’ve played so far and it’s the championship?!?!? Ya let this man cook
- OSU WR SGP (+840) 1u
- Jeremiah Smith Anytime TD
- Emeka Egbuka Anytime TD
- Jeremiah Smith o79.5 Receiving Yards
- Emeka Egbuka 40+ Receiving Yards
- Jeremiah Smith o5.5 Receptions
Best wide receiver duo in the country and I’ve already talked enough about Jeremiah Smith, you should get where I stand by now, but I also love Egbuka. I’m counting on Howard having a great game so I think both of these receivers will get plenty of play in this game. It’s a double edged sword. Try to shut down one receiver and the other will go off you can’t key on either one you just gotta play your coverage straight up or one of these guys will burn you. And if you play your coverage straight up they can both burn you. That’s the dilemma. I don’t anticipate Notre Dame being able to stop either of these guys.
Lo’s Value Play Special: Each Team to score 1+TD and 1+ FG in each half (+3500) .5u
I said I was set on giving you guys value plays so here it is. Obviously no guarantee on this, not much confidence, but I saw this and thought to myself “I could see this happening”. It’s a great low risk high reward play and that’s all that matters in my opinion. I’m not throwing the house on these plays but if it were to hit it could easily cover all losses. That’s the important part, one risky play that could definitely hit to give you some more bankroll to throw around. Let’s hit one of these.
Key’s Picks:
Ohio State -8.5 (-110) 3u🔨
Let’s not over think people. I’ll give the ND defense their flowers. But the offense.. YIKES. I’m a better throwing qb than Leonard. ND benefitted last week from playing against a moron. Granted Ryan Day is also a moron but not to the Franklin level. This is a legit take out the 401k play. Tbt 2013 where bama stopped ND and Manti Teos imaginary gf. History will repeat itself.
Emperor’s Picks:
Notre Dame +8.5 (-108) 1u
NFL Playoffs have crushed me. CFB Playoffs (because of Texas losing) have crushed me. I would say do not tail me until the Super Bowl, however, the world needs a classic CFB Chip game. Feels like we haven’t had one in years. The Irish are keeping this close tonight.
Over 45.5 Game Total Points (-110) 1u
Just did some quick research (a google search) and realized every single CFP Championship Game has gone over 45.5 points. Follow the pattern here folks. Root for points because we will somehow acquire them.
Riley Leonard Anytime TD (+125) 1u
This man is the heart and soul of this Notre Dame offense. I expect this man to put everything on the damn line tonight for a dub, which of course would include him using his legs to score.
This season Leonard has scored against every Big 10 Team he’s played. Follow the pattern…
- The Emperor’s TD Lay (+1350) .66u
- Emeka Egubka Anytime TD
- Riley Leonard Anytime TD
- Jeremiyah Love Anytime TD
Go for the gold. Need to collect some units back. We move.